Free is not a business model

“Free is not a business model” declared the CEO of Box, a cloud based enterprise storage and collaboration company, feeling the price pressure of the competitive battle between Amazon and Google in the storage space.  While his lament is self-evidently true, it does open the broader question: what is a business model?  Business model is one of the hot topics in management today, usually alongside the adjective ‘disruptive’.      

The term business model really only took off in the first internet boom.  But today everyone is talking about business models.  HBR reported a few years ago “7 out of 10 companies are engaging in business model innovation … 98% are modifying their business model to some extent”.  Can you describe your business model?  And are you at risk of disruption?

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5 tips for better strategic decision making

Imagine you are a major retailer planning to enter an ‘adjacent’ $50B retail market, and you specifically want to attack the market leader for ‘strategic’ reasons.  But there’s a catch:

1.       The market leader has 15 years accumulated experience in the sector – you have none; and

2.       They have nearly 10x the market share of their nearest competitor … (~18% vs. ~2% market share - your likely entry point)

A tough ask.  But wait.  There’s more.   This is the story of the failure of Project Oxygen at Woolworths.  One analyst labelled it as “the greatest own goal in recent Australian business history”. 

What happened?  And how do we avoid these traps?

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Twiggy's folly

Twiggy's latest call for governments – any government will do – to ‘do something’ sits right there alongside his call for the Australia’s iron ore majors to form a cartel.  It’s not exactly clear what he’d like the government to do: set production quotas for the individual iron ore companies?  Decades ago the woodchip industry asked the government to intervene to prop up prices ...  but what seemed like a good idea at the time turned out to be a nightmare.

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Are you ready for the next big shift ...

Imagine China’s growth rate fell to 3.9% per annum within the next 12 months.  I suspect you can’t.   Ridiculous, right?  Well, actually, no, but more on that later.

Let’s start at the beginning.  Collectively we suck at picking the big strategic shifts that upend long held assumptions about the state of the world.  Look no further than the recent history of China’s economic growth and the demand for steel – and hence, iron ore.  

While there is a lot of psychology that explains why we too often fail to see these major shifts, the bigger question is: what can we do about it?  How can we improve our ability to anticipate and respond to these inflection points.  

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Stronger no longer - what now?

One of my resources clients recently shared his observations after returning from a marketing conference and from a series of meetings with many of his customers.  The message was loud and clear: the ‘stronger for longer’ mantra of the resources sector is now ‘stronger no longer’. 

What now?  Of course, most resources executives know ‘what’ to do: cut capital spend; cut exploration; reduce travel; reduce headcount; drive productivity.  But the real leadership challenge is not ‘what’ but ‘how’.   

Here’s some of the ideas I offered from the perspective of an organisational strategist. 

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Take a deep breath - iron ore markets are doing what you should expect

I remember attending an AICD forum a few years ago when one of the presenters, a non-executive Director of a mining services company, boldly declared “the iron ore price won’t fall below $100/t while I’m still around – trust me”.  I hope his health proves more robust than his forecast.

I certainly don’t make light of the incredibly difficult situation for the many individuals who will be hurt by the collapsing iron ore price.  But let’s be a little more honest in the conversation. 

This blog explains some of the pricing shifts, and what we might expect looking forward: it's not pretty.  But much of what is happening is classic industry patterning.  And it's not just iron ore.  The gold industry has suffered the same fate.  

The bottom line: be very clear about your competitive advantage.  If you don't have one, your dead.

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GE, the CEO and Strategy

Jeff Immelt, CEO, and GE present a fascinating study on the influence of the CEO vis-à-vis the influence of the environmental context in which they operate, and the pervasive influence of a global corporation’s core competency on strategy. 

Immelt followed Jack Welch as CEO of GE.  Welch was a celebrated CEO who presided over two decades of growth, creating US$350B in shareholder value (compound annual growth rate of 23% per annum[1]).  Asked a few years ago how tough was it to follow Welch, Immelt's advice was ‘plan your career so that your predecessor is a failure’. 

But what has been the record of Immelt since becoming CEO?

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Excellence ... Lessons from Sting

Want to learn what it takes to really achieve excellence in your chosen field?  Watch the first few minutes of the following video clip in which Sting is honored in the annual Kennedy Center honours.  “With all the gifts he’s been given … he’s still sort of ‘scowlie’ … still unsatisfied, he’s restless, unsettled, gazing off to the side"

There are lessons in here for all of us, but be warned: the pursuit of ‘excellence’ in our organisations should come with a product warning

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Strategy, execution and accountability

Last week I posted a note on the strategy vs. execution debate.  A friend and colleague emailed me to say he thought it was a good post … but he disagreed!  We’re having an interesting exchange off line, but he raised the issue of accountability.  His view: accountability for the success of a strategy rests with those who develop a strategy … they are therefore unable to walk away prior to execution as their job is not complete.  

Absolutely.  But I suggest a more layered approach to thinking about accountabilities for strategy. 

There are three distinctive layers of ‘activity’, with each one the primary accountability of a particular level in the hierarchy: viz. 

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The Strategy vs. Execution debate

A recent article and posting on Harvard Business Review has again promoted debate around the distinction between strategy and execution, with two highly credentialed business professors arguing the toss.  Professor Roger Martin (Dean: Rotman School of Management) argued ‘execution is strategy’.  Professor Don Sull (MIT) pushed back suggesting this was really just a definitional issue, and what really matters is “why do some organisations translate their strategies into results while others do not?”

This strategy versus execution debate reminds me a little of Fiedler’s commentary on leadership in response to some writers asking if there is such a thing as leadership: viz.

“This may be a good attention getter, but more sober reflection tells us that leadership does make a difference”

On sober reflection their is a distinction between creating strategy - which gives us our 'strategy' and executing strategy.  

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Being 'right' is never enough

Two stories in 8 days – Emeco and iiNet – confronting the same issue.  In each instance the Board has supported a strategy which is now being roundly questioned – or condemned – by major shareholders. 

This reinforces a message I posted a couple of weeks ago where I highlighted the need to explicitly incorporate shareholder expectations into the strategy conversation.  This issue has played out in the press over the last two weeks. 

Sounds simple; hard to do.  Why is it so?

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Want to grow – Deepen your position

Michael Porter famously remarked “the pressure to grow is among the greatest threats to business”.  And yet there are few executives who haven't felt that pressure.  So what are the best growth options?  Michael Porter would argue – “deepen your strategic position, don’t broaden it.  A company can usually grow faster – and far more profitably – by better penetrating needs and customers where it is distinctive than by slugging it out in potentially higher growth areas where the company lacks uniqueness”

What is your growth strategy?  Does it 'deepen your position?'  Or are you chasing opportunities where you lack distinctiveness?

 

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The Diversity Challenge Meets Selma

A recent article on the diversity program at eBay noted that men and women experience the company in different ways.  For example, “a majority of women felt that their male colleagues didn’t understand them very well, though a majority of men felt well understood by the women”.  This is a well understood phenomenon of relationships between ‘dominant’ and ‘subordinate’ groups 

President Obama’s powerful speech marking the anniversary of the Selma march made a number of connections with the issues of diversity in the workplace

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'Playing to Win' as a strategy process framework

A friend was looking to engage a consultant to guide their business through a strategy process.  We chatted about it over a few drinks one night and a few days later he asked: what do you think of the framework in ‘Playing to Win’.   

The bottom line is 'Playing to Win' offers a neat framework, and in good hands it will help strategic leadership teams wrestle down their strategies.  But what matters more than the framework is the quality of the thinking, and the quality of the conversation.   Here’s what I told him: maybe you’ll find the advice useful. 

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Towards master strategist ...

As I began my closing remarks to the MBA business strategy class I wondered: How do you summarise 45 hours of teaching to an MBA class?  It’s impossible of course.  But just as a eulogy is not a summary of a person’s life but rather seeks to capture the essence of a person’s life, so too I set out to reflect the essence of the challenges on the path to master strategist.

1.       Clarity & Coherence.  One of the consistent themes in our program is the importance of clarity around your strategic position, and the power of building strategic coherence across the business (exemplars include IKEA and SouthWest Airlines).  True alignment delivers what the economists call 'complementarity' wherein  success in one initiative delivers increased value from the other initiatives.  A stark contrast is the business whose aspiration is to position itself as a top end, niche service provider, but who is simultaneously pursuing opportunities in a much larger, largely undifferentiated market.  This is a recipe for failure.  Strategy is fundamentally about choice: choosing what not to do is as important as choosing what you will do.   

2.       Craftsman or chameleon … All businesses face a fundamental tension between refining and finessing their ‘craft’ – adopting Minztberg’s compelling metaphor of the strategist as a master craftsman who achieves success through the relentless pursuit of excellence in his or her chosen craft – or seeking to reposition their business.  The complexity of this choice is compounded by the psychological bias towards the status quo: there is strong evidence that decision makers display a strong bias toward alternatives that perpetuate the status quo[1]

3.       Innovation occurs at the intersection of disciplines.  This is now accepted wisdom in the world of innovation, but it also fundamental to great strategy making.   The best strategic thinkers are typically well read across a diverse range of interests.  The real creativity from a strategic perspective lay in the ability to make connections and see patterns across the discipline boundaries.  The seeds of RTIO’s decade long industry leadership in the adoption and implementation of technology as a core strategic enabler were sown when the executive were willing to ‘allow the outside in’ across multiple dimensions of their business.  

4.       From routine recipes to deep strategic insight[2].  Great execution cannot make up for second rate strategic insight (I am reminded of the tag line of a strategy consulting group … “when the value of the second best advice is approximately zero”).   Too often we hear those ‘in the trenches taking grenades’ complaining about the ever changing business strategy: only occasionally is this due to extraordinary environmental volatility.  Leaders need to shift from ritualised strategic conversations in isolation from those who execute to a much deeper level of exchange in which uncertainty and ambiguity are embraced as a fundamental part of the process.  Deeper insight at the front end will produce more enduring strategies.

5.       Strategy is a fundamentally wicked problem.  There are a myriad of strategy models each of which offers a lens into the nature of the challenges and opportunities, none of which is ‘the answer’.  Research has shown us that what we need is not better theories, but better practise.   Purity of process is much less a builder of strategic capability than the nurturing of competing strategic processes within businesses.   Real strategic insight arises from the synthesis of the partial views offered by these multiple processes and models.  Or as Gary Hamel once said, perspective is worth 40 IQ points. 

In my closing remarks I also recapped the fundamentals of great strategy execution but this is for a later blog. 

 

[1] Hammond et al HBR (1998): The hidden traps in decision making

[2] With acknowledgement to Brian Leavy who’s 2001 Strategic Change editorial title I adapted 

Strategy execution - the winning edge

Are you prepared to invest to lift the 'realised value' of your strategy by more than 20%?  The simple truth is that this 'extra' value is usually accessible through better execution! 

Strategy execution remains an elusive challenge for businesses.  The research  consistently shows businesses typically capture only about 60-65% of the value of their strategies: the rest fails to materialise.  

There are few deals in life we would pursue if we thought we would likely only realise about 2/3rds of the value we were promised.  

I recently ran a session on Strategy Execution as part of a broader leadership development program for a global mining company … their feedback (click here to see) encouraged me to offer this in a stand-alone workshop format available to other clients.

The program offers practical guidance on: translating the strategy into an executable plan; the key elements of successful execution; and how to break down the barriers which block successful execution.  More details of the program can be downloaded here.  

Overcome the status quo bias: make a decision to do something different!  It's a small investment with the potential to deliver substantial upside.  

Contact me (mailto:david@2ndhorizon.com.au) to discuss how the program can be tailored to meet your needs.  

 

World Business Forum Excels

The inaugural World Business Forum in Sydney 2 weeks ago was beyond any conference I have attended over more than 25 years as a consultant and advisor working with executive teams across the domains of strategy, leadership and change.    

The conference delivered genuine thought leadership across key issues today: creativity; strategy; big data; global economics and politics; creative leadership; innovation; execution; social media; and the psychology of leadership. 

The speakers were exceptional ...

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