Against the flow - removing robots

In a reversal of an increasing trend toward use of robotics as a productivity tool in the auto industry over the last two decades, Toyota has deliberately displaced robots to reinstall humans.  Why?  Because over time the workforce skills will deteriorate, leading to too many average workers and not enough craftsmen.  In turn, the robots can only do what humans program them to do: if humans lose the skills, then the robots ultimately work sub-optimally. 

This has resonance with strategic choices in mining 25 years ago when contract mining was first emerging.  One of the major mining companies held firm against the trend and deliberately rejected contract mining.  Why?  Because they were concerned that if they lost a core competence around mining over time they would lose the ability to make judgements around investment decisions in future mines.

Few firms are likely to be facing this issue with respect to use of robots perhaps.  But it does raise a core strategic question:  when was the last time you explicitly discussed core competencies in your business?  Is there agreement across the executive at to what really are core competencies?

Building a Growth Platform

Over the last decade only 20% of the Global 2000 companies grew their top line at twice global GDP growth rates (5.5%), and only about 10% actually earn their cost of capital.  Bain recently posted some very insightful research findings into sustainable growth.  I summarise their findings below, and provide you a link to their full 10 minute video presentation. 

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Horizon 2 - 'no man's land'

There's a reason Horizon 2 was referred to as 'no man's land' in a recent HBR article.  It is the catalyst for organisational transformation, but it presents unique challenges for senior managers.  But difficult or not, in today's world putting your nose to the grindstone may result in serious harm

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Growth & Organisational Renewal - the work of Horizon 2

McKinsey's three horizon strategy model highlights the distinct elements of strategy which tackle the challenges across different time horizons. 

Horizon 1 is the 'competitive strategy': it addresses how a business plans to win the competitive battles over the next 12-18 months.

Horizon 2 strategy was originally seen as the 'growth' strategy, bringing on stream the next major earnings streams.  But it must also deliver organisational renewal to overcome the effects of 'organisational entropy'.  It has a 2-5 year time horizon. 

Horizon 3 is the 'option' strategy.  It is about exploring new possibilities, many of which will not make it past various decision gates, but from a portfolio of options will come the next horizon 2 growth pathways.  The time horizon for option plays is often more than 5 years from inception to a major value contribution.